IN THE NEWS: Latest Poll Shows Hinojosa Closing the Gap in the Texas Governor’s Race

Austin, TX – This week, a new independent poll showed that Gina Hinojosa is within just three points of Greg Abbott, at 42% to 45%, inside the margin of error. While Abbott is focusing on lining the pockets of his billionaire donors, Hinojosa has spent her campaign traveling the state and connecting with Democrats, Republicans, and Independents who are ready for a governor who will put them first.

In an interview with Newsweek, a strategist put it plainly: “Hinojosa has the momentum. This race has gone from a 10-point race to a 7-point race to a 5-point race to a 3-point race.”

As the race tightens, Texans are making it clear that they are sick and tired of Greg Abbott’s corruption and failed policies. Hinojosa has a simple plan to save public schools and put money in your pockets, and from now until Election Day, she will continue connecting with new voters across the state to close the gap and implement the change Texans deserve.

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USA Today: Gina Hinojosa closes gap on Texas Gov. Greg Abbott in new poll

  • A July 28 poll from the Texas Public Opinion Research showed Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa trailing Republican Gov. Greg Abbott by 3 percentage points — just outside the poll’s margin of error.
  • This new TPOR poll showed that Hinojosa is closing the 7-percentage-point gap previous polls had between the two candidates.
  • The gap narrowed in spring, with a May 29 poll from the TPOR showing Abbott leading 46% to 41% with 9% undecided — a 5-point lead that matched TPOR’s April poll, which had Abbott leading 48% to 43%.
  • Looking more deeply at the July TPOR, it showed Hinojosa leading among independents, moderates, Black and Latino voters, while Abbott leads among college-educated and white voters.
  • “My plan is simple: save public schools, put money in your pocket, and end the Greg Abbott Corruption Tax,” Hinojosa said. “While Abbott still focuses on lining the pockets of his billionaire buddies and data center donors, I’m traveling the state hearing from Republicans, Independent and Democrats that are ready to rebuild the American Dream in Texas with an economy that works for the people, strong neighborhood schools, and safe communities.”

Newsweek: Greg Abbott’s Chances of Losing to Hinojosa With Less Than 100 Days Until Midterms

  • Texas Governor Greg Abbott and Democrat Gina Hinojosa are locked in a tight gubernatorial race, according to a new poll that finds Abbott holding a slim lead within the margin of error.
  • However, Doug Gordon, a Democratic strategist and co-founder of UpShift Strategies, told Newsweek, “It is clear Hinojosa has the momentum. This race has gone from a 10 point race to a 7 point race to a 5 point race to a 3 point race.”

SA Current: Democrat Gina Hinojosa in statistical tie with Gov. Greg Abbott with election less than 100 days out

  • Democratic gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa is in a virtual tie with Gov. Greg Abbott, the Republican incumbent, according to a new poll released Tuesday by nonpartisan Texas Public Opinion Research.
  • Of the 1,048 likely Texas voters surveyed between July 15 and July 17, 45% said they plan to vote for Abbott, while 42% said they prefer Hinojosa, putting the Austin state representative within the 3.4% margin of error.
  • Boosting Hinojosa is her popularity with Black voters, with whom she leads by 49%, according to the survey. Meanwhile, her Rio Grande Valley roots helped push Hinojosa to lead with Latino voters by 38%.
  • Hinojosa’s camp also noted in a press release that the polling shows that Abbott, who’s seeking a historic fourth term in office, is the “least popular he’s been in his political career.”
  • If Hinojosa is successful in November, she would be Texas’ first Democratic governor since Ann Richards led the state from 1991 to 1995.

SA Observer: New Poll Finds Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa Race Neck-and-Neck

  • A new independent poll from Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) shows the 2026 Texas governor’s race tightening, with Democratic candidate Gina Hinojosa trailing Republican Gov. Greg Abbott by just three percentage points — a margin that falls within the survey’s stated 3.4% margin of error.
  • The poll found Abbott at 45% and Hinojosa at 42%, with 10% of voters remaining undecided. TPOR said the race has narrowed since its May survey, when Abbott led 46% to 41%.
  • TPOR said the latest findings build on recent Texas A&M/Siena and New York Times/Siena polls that also showed Hinojosa improving among Latino voters.

KVUE: Slim Leads in Governor, A.G. Races 

KHOU: New Poll Shows Close Races for Midterm Elections

KPRC: Race for Texas Governor