NEW: Hinojosa Tied with Abbott in Deep-Red Texas Congressional District

In a congressional district Abbott won by 10 points in 2022, voters are ready for change

Austin, TX — A new poll conducted by Public Policy Polling finds Gina Hinojosa tied with Greg Abbott in Texas’ 23rd Congressional District, a sprawling border district stretching from San Antonio to El Paso that Donald Trump won by 15 points in 2024 and Abbott carried by 10 points in 2022. In this poll, which skewed toward Trump voters by 12 points, Hinojosa and Abbott are deadlocked at 48-48.

Key Findings:

• Hinojosa is tied with Abbott 48-48 in a district Trump won by 15 points in 2024 – a major shift that signals Abbott’s grip on Republican-leaning Texas is slipping
• Key voting groups signal trouble for Abbott. Even in a deep red district, the poll shows 46% of Independent voters, 50% of Latino voters, and 7% of former Trump voters support Hinojosa.
• The Republican base is cratering. Even in a sample that overrepresented Trump supporters by 12 points, Abbott struggles to pull ahead – a sign that his corruption is a liability even among voters in their own party’s base

“Everywhere I go the story is the same – Texans are tired of working more and getting less because they’re paying the Greg Abbott Corruption Tax,” said Hinojosa. “Voters in districts like this are telling us they’re ready for change – they’re rejecting the corruption that has made Greg Abbott and a few of his billionaire buddies rich while the rest of us pay the price. That’s why this campaign is not about left vs. right, it’s about electing a governor that will put working families first by fighting for strong schools, lower costs, and a Texas that actually works for Texans.”

Today’s results are consistent with a clear trend. Internal polling released in February showed the governor’s race within 3 points statewide, a statistical tie, and independent polls from Emerson and the Hobby School at the University of Houston both confirmed a single-digit race. Now, this PPP poll in Texas’ 23rd Congressional District shows Hinojosa matching Abbott even in one of the most Republican-leaning districts in the state. The data is clear: Abbott has never been more vulnerable.

Hinojosa enters the general election with enormous momentum. On March 3, more Democrats voted in the midterm primary than Republicans for the first time since 2002, as voters across the state surged to the polls. That energy follows Democrat Taylor Rehmet’s 14-point victory in the Tarrant County Senate District 9 special election – a seat Trump carried by 17 points in 2024.

Texans of every background and in every region are ready to fire Greg Abbott. Texans are done paying the price for Abbott’s corruption – and this race is only getting closer.

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